The prediction of the future development of dry mortar equipment
1. make predictions from cause and effect
Epistemology that the development of the dry mortar equipment market has a reason, the relationship between the causes and consequences of the dry mortar equipment market to find, you can make predictions about the future of the dry mortar equipment market. However, in fact, in economic activities, the causal relationship between the dry mortar equipment market is complex, and most of them are not one-to-one causal relationships, but multi-factor and multi-result relationships. Generally speaking, it is relatively easy to analyse cause-effect relationships qualitatively, and it is often difficult to describe them accurately quantitatively. A correct qualitative analysis of the future trend of the dry mortar equipment market is necessary, but not sufficient. Dry mortar equipment enterprises need to have quantitative forecasts to make production capacity plans, and need to find the functional relationship between economic variables. The forecasting method of quantitative economics is basically based on the principle of causality.
2. Forecasting from the appearance of long-term changes in the dry mortar equipment market
If the object of the forecast shows some regular change over time, it can be inferred that the market for dry mortar equipment is developing in such a way that it can be used for forecasting. The basis for this is that although it is a superficial phenomenon, epistemologically, the appearance is governed by some kind of law behind it, and while the law is not obvious in the short term, the law will become apparent in the long term. Although there is no way of knowing exactly how this is governed, it does not prevent the regularity shown in the appearance from being used to forecast trends in the dry mortar equipment market. Time series type forecasting methods are based on this principle.
The prediction of the future development of dry mortar equipment
2021 10/18